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By
Patrick Osio, Jr./HispanicVista.com
- April 2, 2007
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- Baby Boomers Buying Baja
- By Patrick Osio, Jr
- The Active Adult segment of the US population
those born between 1946-1964, referred to as Baby Boomers, are poised to
become the largest minority group in the US. According to the Census
Bureau there are 78.2 million baby boomers as of July 1, 2005 a whopping
28% of the US population. In 2006, the eldest of the group turned 60 at
a daily average of 7,918 a day.
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- An Associated Press survey found that most boomers expect to retire
around age 63 — but 66 percent of them expect to work for pay after
retiring. Forty-three percent will do so because they want to stay busy,
27 percent say they'll keep working to make ends meet and another 19
percent will work so that they can afford "extras."
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- Baby Boomers are a different breed from previous generation of
retirees. The Active Adult is over 50 years old, highly independent,
physically fit, environmentally conscious and socially active. They have
a wide range of physical interests such as golf, tennis, swimming,
running, dancing, winter sports and they travel with gusto.
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- They actively participate in staying healthy not relying entirely on
their health providers to set the course for them. Their mantra is not
based on life expectancy but rather on stretching longevity with quality
of life.
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- And, it is the Baby Boomers who are fast becoming the greatest real
estate opportunity ever – both for the US and for other countries. And
Baja California coasts on the Pacific and Sea of Cortes attest to this
growing phenomenon.
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- Though there have always been several options, previous retiree
generations, as a majority, remained in the home where they raised
families. Not the Baby Boomers – they are in great numbers considering
the various available options, which are:
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Stay put – as previous generations have done is the
easiest decision.
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Downsize in the same general area – empty nesters going to
single story smaller homes or condos. Or move to adult living
developments in the same general area.
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Move to another city or state – a harder decision, but
Baby Boomers are willing if the community provides the life style they
seek and is economically within their budget.
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Move to another country – a mega decision, but Baby
Boomers are not dissuaded by previous generation’s fears.
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- The first two choices are the easiest in the decision making
process, and the majority of the Baby Boomers will choose one of the
two. This is particularly true in communities that offer adult living
communities with ample amenities and activities and are affordable.
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- The fourth choice, moving to another city or to another state is a
tougher decision since it also means leaving behind old-friends and
family members and socially starting all over again. To the credit of
numerous US adult community developers who have and are building some
nice to ultra nice such communities and are very savvy marketers, this
choice has gained in popularity over the years and is expected to
continue at a 15 to 20 percent annual growth.
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- The fifth choice, moving out of country, is by far the toughest
choice option.
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- Baby Boomers, whose net worth is high without using the equity in
their home to bolster their financial statement, consider moving to
another country but typically keep a smaller condo or home in their home
town as their “headquarters.” They are part time foreign residents. They
seek comfort with a foreign accent and the best amenities available. The
amenities must already be in place, not at some distant point in the
future. If they play golf, they want golf courses; if they have a boat
of consequence, they want a marina; if they play tennis, they want
tennis courts; if they want to be pampered and spoiled, they want the
facilities in place.
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- But for the vast majority of Baby Boomers, retiring in a foreign
country requires a great deal of thought, and planning. A major part of
the decision is made based on economics or affordability. For most it
means cashing in on the equity of their long term residence, and using
their Social Security payments as part of their total retirement funds.
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- The North Baja coast – Tijuana to Ensenada – does have some upcoming
developments that will attract the affluent Baby Boomers, but the vast
majority of the better than 18,000 condos-homes in some stage of
construction or pre-construction, is aimed for today’s second home
buyer, tomorrow’s retiree, and to those ready to retire now.
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- To most it’s about affordability and being able to stretch the
retirement income while enjoying a quality of life that would be
unaffordable in California or most other parts of the US including
desert areas where the heat ranges over 100 degrees for 5 months a year.
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- California’s age 65 or over stands right around the 4-million. In
Southern California the largest concentration of this age group live in
Riverside County with over 14% of their total population. San Diego
County’s 65 or over population is around 105,000 about 10% of the total.
Los Angeles County has around 400,000 or about 10% of the total
population. Taking into consideration that around 90% of the total 65 or
over in Southern California would for whatever reasons, not move to Baja
that stills leaves over 50,000 potential move to Baja Baby Boomers that
may be attracted. When further considering that just the Western states
have over 7-million 65 or over population that provides around 700,000
prospects for moving to Baja or obviously other parts of Mexico.
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- Moving to a foreign country is not for everyone, it takes some
getting used to a different culture, language, and daily little nuances
that some may find annoying. Mexico is no exception even though there
are plenty of Americans already living there, not everyone of them has
found it to be the Shangri-La brochures promised.
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- For those seeking a change in life style, they find it, and in most
cases where the retirement income is at $4,000 a month, they find that
income provides the equivalent of $7,000 to $8,000 California life
style. Those savings coupled with the lower cost of homes and annual
property taxes that are a fraction of the same costs in California,
makes the decision to move much easier.
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- But still, property values along the coast are high in comparison to
the affordability of many US retirees though a tremendous bargain
compared to US coastal property costs. But bargains are only as good as
one can afford to take advantage of them.
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- Home and condo developments along the Baja coast providing ocean
views from the east side of the scenic Tijuana-Rosarito-Ensenada toll
highway tell much of the story. The Park at Malibu of 43 units sold out
in 4 days. The 1,600+ square foot residences of good quality were
selling from $190,000 to $239,000. The developer’s new project next
door, the Waterfalls at Malibu is also priced along the same amount and
already there is a flurry of activity to gobble them up. San Marino a
little further south of the Malibus, is also selling rapidly because
they are true affordable by more people bargains.
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- The more expensive and upscale, $350,000 to $600,000, ocean front
residences are moving slower. Of course, slower can mean different
things to different folks. Diane Gibbs, owner of Realty Executives in
Rosarito (south of Puerto Nuevo) lamented to a reporter that things were
slow, “We only sold 8 homes over the weekend.” How many San Diego
realtors would love to have that problem?
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- As more and more Baby Boomers enter the age of retirement and the
cost of living continues to increase in the US, the Mexico option
becomes more viable particularly if planned community developments away
from the expensive coastal corridor come on line. There is nothing wrong
with back-country views, as many San Diego communities can testify.
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- So look for affordable housing along the fringes of Valle de
Guadalupe and Tecate as two examples of what is yet to come – Baja will
be Baby Boomer Country
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- Patrick Osio, Jr. is the Editor of HispanicVista (www.hispanicvista.com)
and columnist with the San Diego Metropolitan Magazine (www.sandiegometro.com).
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- (The opinions expressed by Patrick Osio, Jr. are
solely his and do not necessarily reflect those of HispanicVista.com,
editorial board of advisors or it’s contributing writers.)
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