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What You Are Voting For On 2 July

By Richard N. Baldwin T. /HispanicVista.com
   May 21, 2006
  From Mexico
   

     Note the date of the election above. This is about the upcoming Mexican national election.
The US is in a divisive state while considering a much-needed overhaul of immigration laws; border control, immigration and enforcement. Let's look at the other side of the equation, where much if the immigration comes from . . .  México.

     As said before, we have the magnet and the push. Looking at the push, we should recognize that it is very difficult for a country like México to live right up against the major world's economy and one of the highest living standards. On the other hand, how can the leaders of México hold their heads up when studies show that 30% to 40% of Mexicans would go north (to the US) if they could legally do so. And 20% would go even if they had to do so illegally. In other words, an astounding percentage of the citizenry of México would abandon their home country if given the chance . . . and increasing numbers are doing just this.

     The majority of Mexicans going north are not unemployed; they are under employed. More entire families are making the dangerous trip, which is abandonment of their home country, not just supporting their families at home. The latest trend is for an increasing number of young females (single or divorced) making the dangerous trip. To give you an idea of want they face, it is common for these migrants to load up on birth control pills because they know that the "pay" required is not only money. We are seeing a mass desertion of a country by a significant portion of its population. Rather than call them "heroes" for sending remittances home as President Fox has, we should call them what they are: refugees.

     Basic security is also becoming a bigger push for migration.

     Concerning the security issue (which is the lack of a functional legal/enforcement system), only one candidate (from the PAN) even briefly mentioned this early in his campaign. Almost totally missing from all now. Yet, México does not have to look north for a better legal system. Look at Chile, who is now generally acknowledged as having one of the best legal systems in the Americas. Legal reform has been off the discussion in México since the first few months of the present administration.

     Let's look at the choices offered to the voters of México on 2 July:

     We have three main parties vying for the election. The PAN (center right), now holding the presidency. The PRD (center left), who holds the mayor post in the capitol, México (City). Finally is the PRI (center, all things for all people), the party that held rule for 71 years prior to the last presidential election. Some call them the party of dinosaurs.

     No party holds a clear majority in the national congress, and stalemate is the result. As of this writing, the polls indicate that the PAN and the PRD are in a statistical dead heat two months before the election. The PRI is holding fast to a distant third place.

     All parties are promising "job creation". But what kind of jobs? More $65.00 per week jobs? Let's face it, the Mexican power structure is still fixed on playing to the cheap labor market with no thought of building a viable internal market. No thought that México is completely out of the running in the low skilled, low paid cheap labor market with the competition across the Pacific Ocean. And many of those countries are actively developing strong internal markets, but not México.

     The PRD promises more welfare for the poor. But to make a population dependent on welfare is the surest way to destroy competitiveness ever invented. Take a look at the hundreds of villages that have lost all of their young males that have gone north and send back "remittances". Without the dole (regardless of where it comes from), those left would starve.

     The PAN promises more of the same to promote economic growth, but 40% of the population still earns less than $2.00 per day.

     The PRI wants to return to the old "perfect dictatorship" rule of the past.

     Real energy reform is off the books for all three parties.

     One of México's great strengths is in the high family values of our culture. But has anyone recognized what strains are on those family values when so many breadwinners are permanently separated from their families? Wartime spawns broken families. In this case, the war is economic, but the strain on the families is the same.

     Think of these things on 2 July.

     México is ripe for change. But what kind of change will come if these basic problems are not addressed?

     Mexican voters should demand from the candidates real answers to these questions. The future of México depends on it.

     President Fox, when asked when México could raise the national standard of living to decent levels replied, "Generations". I have news for you; México can't wait that long.

     Good luck México!
 
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Richard N. Baldwin T., a HispanicVista.com (http://www.hispanicvista.com/) contributing columnist, lives in Tlalnepantla, Edo de México. E-mail at: R1041643422@aol.com