- By Rene P. Ciria-Cruz
- New America Media
- Jan 06, 2006
As if deciding to steer clear of a bully, California Gov. Arnold
Schwarzenegger in his State-of-the-State address avoided dealing with
the immigration issue, hinting at it only once, without daring to say
its name.
"California's population is expected to increase by as much as 30
percent over the next 20 years," he said. "Our systems are at a
breaking point. We need more roads, more hospitals, more schools...We
cannot bury our heads in the sand and say, 'If we don't build it they
won't come.'"
There: "They won't come." Immigration.
Schwarzenegger clearly shares the mistaken belief held by 53 percent
of state residents that immigration is the biggest cause of the
state's population growth, as a recent Public Policy Institute Poll
showed (only 12 percent realize that births to residents are mainly
responsible for the growth). But why push it if you're trying to be a
moderate, after having failed to bully your enemies in last November's
special elections? So the governor chose discretion.
Perhaps Schwarzenegger also senses that the electorate may not be
decisively sold on a hard line. Polls show that public opinion in the
country, contrary to perceptions, is at the very least divided on how
to pursue immigration reform.
A Dec. 15-18 Washington Post-ABC News poll showed that 61 percent of
respondents prefer a lenient policy that would give undocumented
immigrants the chance to keep their jobs and apply for legal status.
The poll also showed that to Americans, immigration is the fourth most
important issue (after Iraq, the economy and health care) Congress
must deal with in 2006.
But syndicated columnist Marcela Sanchez believes the House may have
killed immigration reform for this year by approving the harsh
Sensenbrenner bill (it makes illegal immigration a felony), which the
Senate is likely to reject.
Sanchez also notes that a Manhattan Institute poll in October of
registered Republicans showed that 58 percent also favored earned
legalization and that two-thirds of these Republicans would look
kindly on President Bush if he supported such a plan.
So while the Sensenbrenners and Tancredos in Congress may be pandering
to Minutemen and other xenophobes, the electorate, including most
Republicans, are eager not for an all-out crackdown and the
deportation of the undocumented, but for a more humane and pragmatic
approach to reform. The newly "moderate" Schwarzenegger should keep
this in mind because he won't be able to steer clear of the
immigration issue forever in the multi-ethnic state of California.
____________________________________________________
Rene P. Ciria-Cruz is a PNS editor and a longtime editor for
Filipinas Magazine.
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