Guest Column
- The Government and the Drug lords: Who Rules Mexico?
- By Larry Birns and Alex Sánchez
In Mexico, President Felipe Calderon may be the constitutionally-elected leader of the nation, but in reality, drug cartels and warlords exercise de facto authority over much of the area. During President Bush’s two-day stopover in Mexico as part of his recent Latin American tour, he wasted no time in praising the accomplishments of the Calderon administration in combating drug trafficking. At a joint press conference with the Mexican leader in Merida (March 14), Bush said that: “President Calderon is taking a tough stand against organized crime and drugs, and I appreciate that.” He went on to say that: “I recognize the United States has a responsibility in the fight against drugs. And one major responsibility is to encourage people to use less drugs. When there is demand, there is supply.”
Now that Calderon is firmly installed as
president of Mexico, after having survived the Andres Manuel
Lopez Obrador’s strong post-electoral challenge, the new leader
has shown, at least on the surface, that he is ready to tackle
his country’s major problems: organized crime and gross
impunity. Drug trafficking overwhelmingly is the prevailing
social malady throughout the country, particularly along the
border with the U.S. In spite of lengthy declarations by
government officials in Mexico City and Washington, and their
insistence that important battles are being won against drug
trafficking, criminal organizations like the Tijuana cartel
continue to thrive, ruling over whole sections of the Mexican
countryside like sectoral feudal lords.
What’s on the Agenda?
It is important to note that in his deluge of anti-drug
platitudes, Bush stopped short of discussing any detail specific
initiatives to combat the drug trade. On that issue he simply
stated that: “Mexico’s obviously a sovereign nation, and the
president, if he so chooses, like he has, will lay out an agenda
where the United States can be a constructive partner.” During
Bush’s brief visit to the country, the two presidents signed an
agreement, which recognized that the fight against organized
crime in Mexico could be boosted with sustained help and support
from the United States. To achieve this end, Bush and Calderon
agreed to continue the exchange of information between each
country’s law enforcement authorities – not exactly a
block-buster breakthrough. It is likely that Bush chose to avoid
going into detail about his administration’s initiatives to
combat drug trafficking as this would inevitably raise the issue
of the controversial border fence that he reluctantly has
proposed to be built along the border between the two countries.
Meanwhile, Calderon has declared that he and Bush “shared the
need to have a safe border that will close the gates to drugs,
arms and terrorism and that will open its doors to prosperity
and trade.” The recently-elected Mexican leader also said that
his country “need[s] the collaboration and the active
participation of our neighbor” to effectively control the drug
trade.
Declarations made by Bush and Calderon
should be seen as symbolic more than anything else. Both leaders
likely realize that whatever initiatives taken to stop drug
trafficking from Mexico into the U.S., including the recent
operations by Mexican security forces as part of Calderon’s
offensive on organized crime, have not succeeded to any marked
degree in changing the course of the drug war in Mexico. The
drug cartels continue to rule with no sure sign of their power
decreasing anytime soon. Looking over a lengthy history of
disappointment and failure on the part of both nations when it
comes to fighting drugs, it is unlikely— save for episodic and
unsustained mobilizations—that criminal activities are likely to
decrease. To a great extent this is due to Mexico’s organic
corruption, its insistence on venality and the fact that the
nation’s institutions are not strong enough to stand up to
threats, bribes, unremitting violence and the civic rectitude,
when upwards of 50 billions of tainted dollars are in play. The
truth is that the anti-drug war is a cruel fiction in which too
many worthy souls have given their lives, while ineffective
policies, mock strategies and puff programs as well as drug
maggots (i.e. government officials) have helped make today’s
Mexico and the U.S. into a petri dish of rank societal mishaps.
Drug Trafficking
The governor of the state of Nuevo Leon (bordering the U.S.),
Natividad Gonzalez Paras has declared that “unfortunately, the
drug problem has escalated significantly in the past six to
seven years. It is a national problem affecting most of the
country’s states. It is a dispute between cartels or
organizations to control locations, cities and routes.” This
observation may in fact understate the current situation. The
International Narcotics Control Board (INCB) in Vienna has
issued a report, stating that Mexican drug trafficking
organizations and the criminal groups which control most of the
organized drug traffic in the United States, particularly
cocaine, marijuana, methamphetamines and heroin have not been
giving stellar performances. In 2004, U.S. authorities seized
approximately 580 tons of cannabis coming from Mexico, which
provides some indication of the magnitude of the drugs currently
produced and trafficked in Mexico. According to the Mexican
daily La Voz de la Frontera, the INCB’s annual report
states that Mexico produced over 10,000 tons of marijuana in
2005, in contrast to the 4,500 tons produced in the United
States, making the former the region’s largest supplier of
marijuana. Other reports indicate that the combined worth of the
marijuana and cocaine being transported from Mexico into the
U.S. each year has reached an estimated $50 billion. Major
crossing points for these drugs are to be found in Arizona,
California and Texas.
Of the huge volume of different categories of drugs smuggled across the border into the U.S. market, only a small amount are being seized by Mexican authorities. According to a December 20, 2006 article in the Mexican newspaper El Diario, figures provided by the Mexican Defense Secretariat show that in 2006, Mexican military units had seized a paltry 13 kg of marijuana, no cocaine, and seven firearms, as only arrested a total of 10 suspects on drug-related crimes in the border state of Nuevo Leon. The article goes on to explain that the amount of seized marijuana peaked in 2001 with 3,912 tons, and since then has been in steady decline. In 2002 and 2003, authorities confiscated 1,106 tons and 1,616 tons of marijuana, respectively, only to see it plummet to 849 kg in 2004, and to 310 kg in 2006. Later in 2006, the number further fell to 13 kg. In terms of cocaine confiscations, Mexican military personnel responsible for maintaining four permanent checkpoints along the principal access highways to Ciudad Juarez, had failed to confiscate even one gram of cocaine by the time the El Diario article had appeared; this was in contrast to 2001, when they had seized 18.9 kg of cocaine. Given these graphic statistics of underperformance, it is not hard to explain why the flow of narcotics through states like Nuevo Leon has been declining. Violence between rival cartels continues to be a daily occurrence in the affected areas. It is therefore all but incomprehensible why anti-drug authorities repeatedly claim interdictions of drug flow when in fact they are actually shrugging off their responsibilities by frequently closing their eyes to the massive drug shipments taking place. The result is a hugely damaging co-conspiracy between Bush and Calderon, with the anti-drug establishment and the criminal law system in both countries being fueled by the oceans of public funds. It now has become a fight for one’s weekly salary and one’s share of the immense amount of corruption that has been available by the debilitating flood of illicit payments buying public officials. The drug war goes on in spite of its relatively rare and spotty successes, because too much is at stake to end it. The moral here being: pretense pays.
Some criminal organizations like the Sinaloa drug cartel have even transported some of their infrastructure to the U.S., namely to the Texan city of Laredo. Here, Texas police officers are finding a growing number of safe houses being utilized by the cartel as logistical staging points to organize drug shipments and initiate armed attacks on the American side of the border. In addition, as explained in a March 2006 Dallas Morning News article, there is another reason for the movement of drug cartel operations north of the border. According to the article, there is a “soft justice” in the U.S. in comparison to Mexico: cartel operatives in the Laredo-Nuevo Laredo area are well-aware of the fact that if they are apprehended north of the Texas-Mexico border, they likely will go to jail and be able to fight extradition to Mexico by means of their expensive U.S. legal teams. On the other hand, if they are detained south of the border, they are more likely to be murdered in their jail cells by members of rival cartels, by Nuevo Laredo’s corrupt law enforcement officials, or by Tamaulitas’ state police.
Government Victories
There have been a number of important victories by Mexican
authorities against drug trafficking, including seizures of
illicit narcotics and the capture of high level drug lords.
These accomplishments are relatively few in number and staccato
in nature, with a long hiatus often following some stunning
benchmark in the anti-drug war. Therefore, it remains far from
certain if the new Mexican government has managed to make a dent
in drug-related crimes across the country. The most important
anti-crime operation in recent months has been, according to
Ciudad Victoria’s El Diario, the Mexican army’s seizure
in late March of a 7.5 ton shipment of marijuana hidden in a
trailer carrying avocadoes being shipped from Uruapan,
Michoacan, apparently intended for export to the U.S. market.
Meanwhile, in Coahuila, the Mexican police and army have
recommended setting up random checkpoints in La Laguna. Such an
operation would include regular helicopter surveillance of rural
areas around Lerdo. As a result of operations already initiated,
22 people have been detained for drug possession. Another
success was the January 16 arrest of drug kingpin Pedro Diaz
Parada, the head of the “Diaz Parada” cartel that operates in
southern Mexico. Diaz Parada is known to have shot Judge Pedro
Villafuerte 33 times, (once for each year of prison to which he
had been sentenced by Villafuerte).
Calderon’s Winter Offensives
Anti-drug operations under Mexican President Felipe Calderon
widened as a result of his decision to dispatch more federal
police officers to the U.S.-Mexican border in order to curb the
violence and slash the volume of drug trafficking. As many as
17,000 troops have been deployed to areas that previously
resembled the lawless regions of Somalia, with little control
being exercised by the central government. The large numbers
indicate the magnitude of the deployment that Calderon has been
willing to carry out as part of his nationwide plans: he has
sent as many as 3,000 security personnel to Baja California,
particularly to the border city of Tijuana. In addition, he has
sent 6,300 troops and federal police to the state of Guerrero
and 9,054 personnel to Sierra Madre. This region is of
particular structural importance as it is one of the centers of
the expansion of drug trafficking, particularly marijuana, and
includes part of the states of Chihuahua, Durango and Sinaloa.
Other reports mention that Calderon has assigned 7,000 officials
to the state of Michoacan. These offensives have come with mixed
but usually bloody results. The bottom line here is that
Calderon will find it both expensive and distortive to the
country’s economy to dispatch large numbers of security
personnel to only one of the country’s theaters. Past
experiences have been to launch showcase anti-drug offensives
but see them settle down in short order.
Victories and Defeats
Last January, Mexican authorities reported that they had
detained 80 suspects on drug traffic-related charges, as well as
seizing hundreds of kilograms of marijuana, in major operations
carried out in Michoacan. The most important detention in the
latest offensives was that of a Gulf cartel leader, Jeremias
Ramirez Garcia, also known as Carne Seca (dry meat). He
is believed to be a member of the Zetas, former elite Mexican
commandos that turned corrupt and who now have been hired by the
drug cartels as hitmen. Another victory is the capture of Pedro
Diaz Parada, which has also been attributed to Calderon’s
strategies. Overall, the government is claiming as victories the
destruction of 1.500 hectares of illicit crops, like marijuana,
as well as the seizure of 32 tons of the substance, along with
2.2 tons of cocaine.
For these professed achievements, much praise has been accorded to Calderon by a White House that wants to believe in the success of the anti-drug war. A January 27 editorial in the Chicago Tribune amply saluted the Mexican leader, observing how “in the long, hard fight against an intractable problem, Calderon has given notice that he means business” and that he is “serious about shutting down the drug cartels and their escalating lawlessness.” However, as hailed as such praise was and meant to be, it was little better than a Potemkim Village similar to the language used to praise his predecessor, Vicente Fox, soon after he took office and declared a war on drugs, which soon evaporated.
At the time, American government officials and the media praised Fox for his anti-drug measures, but today the former president is cryptically portrayed as not having done nearly enough to cope with drugs. A June 16, 2005 Washington Post article by Mary Jordan and Kevin Sullivan, reported how Washington continually had praised Fox’s efforts, noting that he had jailed more top cartel leaders than any Mexican president in history. However, the article concludes on perhaps a less celebratory if more accurate note by noting the conclusions of Mexican academic Jorge Chabat, whose words can be applied to both Fox and now Calderon’s efforts to combat aspects of the Mexican drug problem. Chabat explains that: “the good news is that there are more capos in jail; the bad news is that it doesn’t change anything […] There’s no change in the amount of drugs available in the street, and you have more violence. The logical question is, ‘What are we doing this for?’”
Corruption + Deaths
For whatever government victories may have been achieved against
organized crime and their drug cartels, there also has been
plenty of retaliatory action against government officials and
security forces. In the past several months there have been a
growing number of assassinations, which most likely can be
attributed to the drug cartels “punishing” the government. These
acts have included the murder of Vidal Ivan Barraza Lujan, son
of Vidal Barraza (commander of the Special Prosecutor’s Office
for the Investigation of Homicides against Women), who was
gunned-down as he traveled in Chihuahua. Another victim of
vengeance was Abraham Eduardo Farias Martinez, a state law
enforcement commander and SWAT leader, who was murdered on
February 28 as he headed to an anti-drug meeting. He was shot
several times in the head by a hired assassin. Commander Farias
Martinez’s murder is the eighth homicide of an agent this year,
and the 17th registered in Nuevo Leon since the beginning of
2007.
On February 19, there was an attempt to assassinate Horacio Garza, a federal deputy from the Partido Revolucionario Institucional in Nuevo Laredo, and a former mayor of that town. Garza’s driver was killed and Garza himself is in intensive care after their car was riddled by machine gun fire as it traveled to the airport. President Calderon has acknowledged that even he and his family have received death threats as a result of his highly publicized anti-drug trafficking offensive.
Such incidents make one wonder if the new president and his statement of avowed aggressive policing and beefing up the number of Mexican troops along the border, are making any significant headway. Perhaps the most disturbing aspect of the increasingly violent domestic violence now being recorded are the deaths of SWAT leader Martinez as well as Alejandro Dominguez. In 2005, Dominguez had been appointed the new police chief in the border city of Nuevo Laredo, mostly because he was the only person brave enough to volunteer to assume such a position. He was murdered only hours after being sworn in, by henchmen who riddled him with automatic fire. The grim fates of the aforementioned Martinez and Dominguez should fix the idea that a state of lawlessness continues to prevail throughout Mexico, in spite of declarations to the contrary, and not even those wearing badges are especially safe.
Last year, 2,000 people were murdered as a result of drug-related crimes. Between 2000 and 2006, there were around 9,000 fatal casualties directly or indirectly resulting from drug trafficking, according to an Inter-Press Service report.
Drug cartels also have become bolder in selecting their assassination targets and methods of execution. Long gone are the days when a killing was done in the middle of the night, Hollywood style, with the victim’s body promptly buried in a make-shift grave in the woods. This was done in order to get rid of the evidence and avoid any potential police investigation. Today, it is carried out much more casually; a murder victim may simply be thrown in the waters of the Rio Grande, or left to decompose in the middle of a field. Killings often occur in daytime, often by way of drive-by shootings or by attacks in popular places like malls or restaurants. The weapons used by criminals also have changed. They no longer are simply revolvers but have swelled to machine guns, grenades and even barrels of acid (used both for torture and a body’s disposal). Beheadings also have become a popular method of execution. In addition, it does not help to attempt to bring the rule of law to a country where corruption and fear of cartels have become an endemic problem within the nation’s security forces.
The vox populi believe that many police officers, government officials, and judges are on the bankroll of the different cartels, thus hindering presidential initiatives to put drug criminals behind bars. Even if a police officer does not work for the cartel but is “clean,” he (or she) may be too afraid to act against them out of fear of a bloody reprisal. Those few brave souls that do stand up to fight the criminal gangs, like Dominguez in Nuevo Laredo, usually do not survive for long.
Is More Extradition to the U.S. an
Option?
The extradition of Mexican drug lords and other top cartel
bosses to the U.S. is becoming more and more popular among
American policymakers because they distrust the ability of the
Mexican criminal law system to effectively try suspects and, if
found guilty, to have them sent off to the country’s notoriously
porous penitentiary system, where the drug lords will “escape”
in a scripted manner or remain incarcerated only to see the cut
in communications between them and their home cartels. An
example of this was the case of Osiel Cardenas, who for four
years ran his Gulf cartel from behind the bars of a
maximum-security prison in Mexico. There are reports that, while
in prison, he even sponsored a “Day of the Children” party in
the border town of Reynosa, complete with truckloads of toys and
notes that read that they were a compliment of “jailbird
Cardenas.” It was only when Cardenas, along with other drug
kingpins, were handed to U.S. authorities that their control
over their organizations began to unravel.
Extradition is a complicated process that involves sovereignty and legal issues, and which comes with mixed blessings and curses. One profound example of a downside is that extradition effectively undermines the Mexican legal and penitentiary system. Essentially, individuals who commit crimes on Mexican soil and are captured by Mexican authorities, are being handed over to the justice system of another country because their own system is not viewed as effective and is vulnerable to threats and intimidation.
Calderon is likely to continue Mexico’s recent policy of supporting extradition to the U.S., which will certainly earn him praise and approval from Washington policymakers, even if Washington’s war against drugs deserves anything less than a shrug. It was under the recently inaugurated Calderon presidency that Osiel Cardenas, along with three other drug kingpins and eleven other lesser criminals were extradited north of the border. U.S. Ambassador to Mexico, Antonio O. Garza, has described the extradition as a “monumental moment in our two nations’ battle with the vicious drug traffickers and criminals who threaten our very way of life.”
There are Truths, and Then There are the
Real Truths
Drug trafficking is Mexico’s cancer, bringing the population an
indescribable number of problems, while it is barely being
noticed back in the U.S. The issue is not simply the thousands
of deaths in drug-related incidents every year, but also the
government’s inability to control the drug cartels. This
situation creates a profound sense of fatalism and
disillusionment over the ability of elected officials and the
security forces to effectively cope with crime and to honestly
bring law and order to the community. Furthermore, rampant
corruption and drug-related violence discourages foreign
investment and prevents development, two issues that Mexico
needs to resolve.
Even if Mexican authorities are able to occasionally apprehend major drug kingpins, who are later extradited to U.S. prisons, this situation would only leave a power vacuum within the cartel in which ten different drug “lieutenants” would try to fill. Ultimately, it is a near certainty that this would trigger intra-gang violence as drug lieutenants launch internecine combat in a personal quest for power, which in the process will certainly claim many innocent civilian lives. Just this past March 29-30, gunmen killed two Mexican police officers and six civilians in less than 48 hours in the city of Monterrey in Nuevo Leon. Apparently the deaths came as a result of inter-gang warfare over turf between the Sinaloa and the Gulf cartels. Over 200 rounds were shot at a group of six men, killing three and injuring others, who apparently had no connection to the drug trade and were simply standing outside the wrong house at the wrong time.
The current plan to combat drug trafficking in Mexico is simply not working. Unfortunately, no other viable alternative solution exists with the exception of the further deployment of the Mexican army to lawless regions and the subsequent extradition of drug criminals to the U.S. While some praise can be given to Fox and Calderon for wholeheartedly taking measures to curb drug trafficking and violence in the nation, in reality it has been more a matter of appearance than a hard and lasting fact. In this respect, Calderon is already on the same path that Fox eventually took: much thunder but little lightening.
This analysis was prepared by COHA
Director Larry Birns and Research Fellow Alex Sánchez
April 10th, 2007
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