- 14 December 2004
- By Alex Sanchez, COHA Research
Fellow
• As expected, former heads of state and senior ministers are the
principal candidates to become the new Secretary-General of the
Organization of American States (OAS).
• Former President of El Salvador Francisco Flores, Chile’s Minister of
the Interior José Miguel Insulza and Mexico’s Foreign Affairs Secretary
Luis Ernesto Derbez are considered the front runners.
• While all three contenders bring different qualities to the job, it is
unlikely that any of them can shape the OAS into an organization of
consequence, which it has rarely been since its 1948 founding.
• Washington continues to
have inordinate influence over the organization. Its ill-advised decision
to back Flores is an example of the detrimental hemispheric policy that
results from hiring the ill-prepared Roger Noriega and the ideologue Otto
Reich to the Latin American bureau of the State Department.
Several Latin America
nations have officially announced the candidacy of one of their preeminent
officials for the position of Secretary-General of the OAS. The position
became unexpectedly vacant after former Costa Rican President Miguel Angel
Rodríguez (1998-2002) resigned, after less than one month in office, amid
corruption allegations lodged against him in his native country this past
October.
Meet the Candidates
Former Salvadoran President Francisco Flores (1999-2004) is now making his
second bid to become Secretary-General, after unsuccessfully running earlier
this year against Rodríguez to succeed former Secretary-General César
Gaviria (1994-2004). Hobbled by rumors regarding his record of corruption,
Flores’ candidacy has brought more
division than unity in Central
America, as his bid failed to secure unanimous support from several area
governments at a summit this past November in San José,
Costa Rica.
On December 10, Chile
officially announced that its current interior minister, José Miguel Insulza,
will be its candidate for the OAS’ top post. Reports have abounded that
Insulza, a socialist, would run for Chile’s presidency in 2005 as a
candidate of the Concertación coalition, but for unknown reasons he decided
to run for the OAS office instead. The Chilean media has reported that
Insulza has obtained the support of Buenos Aires and Brasilia, and would
probably get the vote of Caracas as well. Yet without the crucial backing of
Washington, Insulza’s candidacy may be doomed. While the U.S. is very
interested in improving ties with Chile, which has proven to be an ardent
ally of the White House, it is unlikely that it will be willing to support
an assertive leftist like Insulza, who openly criticized and did not support
the U.S-led coalition in Iraq.
Meanwhile, Mexico City announced that its foreign affairs minister, Luis
Ernesto Derbez, will be the country’s candidate for the OAS’ Secretariat,
thus delivering a blow against Flores. Derbez’ candidacy appears to be
fueled more by political maneuvering within the country than an overwhelming
desire on his behalf to obtain the position. Not long ago, Derbez hinted at
his intention to run as the ruling National Action Party’s (PAN) candidate
in the 2006 presidential elections. However, observers believe that his
candidacy for the presidency would not be well-received by other PAN
members, including President Vicente Fox, who wants his protégé, current
Minister of Interior Santiago Creel, to succeed him. Mexico originally had
announced that it would support a Central American candidate, however it
decided only recently to put forth one of its own, most likely because of
mounting opposition to Flores who failed to achieved the unanimous Central
American support and was fast becoming an untenable candidate. By nominating
his foreign minister, Fox was able to kill two birds with one stone:
eliminate Derbez from the presidential race, while taking credit for
nominating a Mexican to be OAS Secretary-General.
Does Washington
know what it is doing?
As usual, Washington’s vote will prove unfairly influential in determining
who will be the next Secretary-General. It is well known that in the 1994
election, Costa Rican Foreign Minister Bernd Niehaus had the
Secretary-General slot secured until, in the last minute, the U.S. used its
influence to switch the vote of many CARICOM (the Caribbean organization of
mainly English-speaking nations) governments to elect outgoing Colombian
President Gaviria. The Colombian’s decade of largely irrelevant, and almost
always self-serving, rule at the OAS left many bitter memories. This year,
Washington took a more neutral position, only deciding late in the game to
support Rodríguez for the OAS’ top post after he had received the backing of
a number of other nations. It is interesting that the U.S., with all the
resources at the State Department’s disposal, was unable to learn of
Rodriguez’ dirty secrets before backing him (the same can be said of other
regional powers like Brazil and Mexico).
In a somewhat
surprising turn of events, Washington recently came out and openly stated
that it would like to see a former president, a Central American one at
that, as the next Secretary-General. Washington’s more or less blatant
support of Flores has raised the former president’s profile, while still
raising a number of questions: why is it openly supporting a candidate so
relatively early in the race? Perhaps more importantly, why is Washington
supporting Flores, a candidate that brings with him a very tattered record
as president of El Salvador that includes implications of corruption?
This analysis was prepared by Alex Sanchez, COHA Research Fellow.
December 14,
2004
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