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By Marla Dickerson, Times Staff Writer
MEXICO CITY — Sep 14, 2005 - Hurricane Katrina may help
end a 15-year trade dispute between the U.S. and Mexico over cement, as the
massive rebuilding effort in the Gulf Coast could put pressure on U.S.
officials to allow more imports into a market beset with shortages and high
prices.
U.S. and Mexican officials met Tuesday in Washington to discuss lowering or
dismantling punitive tariffs on Mexican cement, which currently run as high
as 62%. The U.S. Commerce Department imposed the penalties in 1990 after a
group of 31 U.S.-based cement makers brought a successful anti-dumping case
against Mexican producers that were selling their products at prices far
below what they were charging in Mexico.
Trade negotiators from both nations were unavailable to comment on Tuesday's
proceedings, which a Commerce Department spokeswoman said were planned
before Hurricane Katrina. The talks have dragged on for years, and more are
scheduled for later this month. But construction industry experts say the
hurricane's aftermath could bring urgency to the negotiations.
Cement was pricey and in short supply throughout much of the United States
before the Category 4 hurricane blasted the Gulf Coast. With U.S. cement
plants already running at full tilt, analysts say more imports will be
needed to satisfy the anticipated jump in demand.
Stung by criticism of its slow response to the worst natural disaster in
U.S. history, the Bush administration may be motivated to remove or lower
the tariffs to help prevent any bottlenecks in the rebuilding phase, experts
say.
"I suspect that the administration is looking at all avenues to make sure
that enough building materials can flow into the area," said Ed Sullivan,
chief economist of the Skokie, Ill.-based Portland Cement Assn. "You are not
going to start any significant construction until the second quarter of next
year. But you've got to get your ducks in order…. The market is incredibly
tight."
Largely because of a sizzling housing market, the U.S. last year consumed a
record 122 million metric tons of cement, about 25% of which was imported
from nations as far away as China and South Korea. But fast-growing Asian
economies also are competing with U.S. builders for the same material. Not
only are nations such as China consuming huge amounts of cement, they are
tying up cargo ships needed to transport the commodity to U.S. ports. The
result is higher cement prices and costly job delays for many U.S.
contractors.
A recent survey by the Associated General Contractors of America showed that
32 states, including California, had been hit by shortages. In August,
cement prices were up 12.7% compared with the same month a year ago,
according to the Department of Labor's producer price index. That's more
than double the increase for the overall basket of so-called "intermediate
goods," which includes products such as lumber and paint.
Those increases have added as much as $1,000 to the price of new homes in
some regions, according to Michael Carliner, an economist for the National
Assn. of Home Builders in Washington.
With their construction industries threatened, some elected officials are
pressuring the Bush administration to ease trade restrictions on Mexican
imports. Last month, Republican Govs. Jon Huntsman Jr. of Utah, Michael
Rounds of South Dakota and Kenny Guinn of Nevada, along with Bill
Richardson, the Democratic governor of New Mexico, sent a letter to Commerce
Secretary Carlos M. Gutierrez, urging him to resolve the long-running spat.
"We are importing cement from as far as Asia when there is significant
supply right across our southern border," the letter said. The situation
"threatens to force layoffs, slow economic growth and pose lasting damage to
the construction industry in the Western states."
Hurricane Katrina has further complicated logistics. The Port of New Orleans
was a major hub for incoming shipments of foreign cement that could be sent
by barge up the Mississippi River.
The crippling of that port has importers scrambling for alternatives, which
some believe could lead to further shortages and higher prices.
Mexican cement makers say they are ready to help out with additional stocks
that could be shipped by rail, but only if the U.S. drops the costly tariffs
that make their product uncompetitive in the United States.
"Mexico could deliver meaningful additional supplies of cement into the
United States if the dumping order were revoked," said Rick Shapiro, a
spokesman for the U.S. subsidiary of Mexico's largest cement maker, Cemex.
But some domestic firms say Mexican firms are exploiting a U.S. disaster for
their own gain.
Mexico's domestic cement market is highly concentrated, with just a handful
of companies controlling the trade and virtually no import competition. That
gives it a huge cost advantage over U.S. producers, according to Joe Dorn, a
Washington attorney who represents the U.S. firms whose complaints sparked
the punitive tariffs.
"The root cause of the dumping has not changed," Dorn said. "The root cause
is that Mexico has a closed cement market."
Sullivan of the Portland Cement Assn. estimates that Mexico has as much as 8
million tons of excess capacity to supply the United States. But he said
rail lines linking the two countries were already congested.
"The problem is how do you get it here?" he said. "A lot of people are
looking at that 8 million tons and saying, 'The shortage is cured.' And I'm
telling you: 'No way.' "
Los Angeles Times article at:
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-mexcement14sep14,0,6941121.story?track=tottext
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