| July
30, 2001 Amnesty and
guest worker program: A solution or just more
Mexico bashing?
By Patrick Osio, Jr.
Mexico's President Vicente
Fox proposes the US give amnesty to several
million Mexican nationals who migrated illegally
and also wants a guest-worker program so more
Mexicans can come legally and safely to work on a
temporary basis.
From a Mexican perspective,
Fox's proposals are sound strategy based on the
reality of Mexico's economic predicament. This
year alone, 1.3-million persons enter the job
market, but at best Mexico will create 500,000
jobs. The 800,000-job deficit may exceed that
number, as Mexico's economy is headed for a
possible recession. In May alone, construction
was off by 8 percent; mining down by 3.2 percent;
manufacturing down by 2.8 percent, and
foreign-owned maquiladoras down by 5.6 percent,
marking four straight downward months with
corresponding unemployment. Thus it's good
strategy to try to find the jobs through a
guest-worker program in the US and to a lesser
extent in Canada.
And his amnesty request
follows the strategy that the last thing Mexico
needs right now is for Mexicans in the US to
return. The return of 1 to 3 million would cause
an economic catastrophe, as the jobs-deficit
would jump into the millions. Plus the loss of up
to 8 billion dollars they send home, an amount
that rivals Mexico's oil, tourism and foreign
owned maquiladoras in dollar revenues.
However, as Fox's desires
reverberate throughout the US, the short hairs on
the napes of many Americans and elected officials
can be seen rising, some slowly while others with
the speed of a Viagra overdose. While emotional
outbursts against Mexico may provide venue for
venting anger and frustration, they continue to
ignore US industries' role and the reality of our
present situation.
Illegal immigration exists
because there are individuals and businesses
willing to break US federal laws prohibiting
hiring of undocumented workers instead of
availing themselves of existing guest-worker
programs, such as the H-2A visas for temporary
agricultural workers. So if the Mexicans who
cross our border illegally are criminals, so are
those Americans hiring them.
Instead of an aggressive
enforcement campaign against such hiring
practices, public officials in response to
special interests have for years opted for
building fences, and adding Border Patrol
officers along the border, but never enough.
Fences and officers to keep people out, also
keeps people in, so it is not surprising that the
2000 census found that of the potential 8 million
illegal immigrants, over 37 percent, 3 million,
are from Mexico.
The seduction of our elected
officials through campaign donations and
political support by special interests needing
plentiful cheap and non-complaining labor has had
its consequences bringing us to the present
situation. According to the Urban Institute
undocumented immigrants represent 34 percent of
domestic workers; 23 percent of agricultural and
fisheries workers; 21 percent of textile and
assembly workers; 18 percent of service workers;
18 percent of material handlers and helpers; and
12 percent of transportation workers. Though it
may be hard to swallow, there are sectors
throughout the US that would collapse without
these immigrants.
Not granting amnesty does
not mean the millions denied it would return to
Mexico. Now what? Finding and deporting such vast
numbers would require far more personnel and
economic resources than some form of official
pardon. And those deported, because of their
economic desperation, would make multiple
attempts at returning.
The absence of a
guest-worker program would not stop illegal
border crossings, so the US would have to provide
more than ten times the present available border
resources to make a dent on the problem at a cost
far higher than a guest-worker program, and still
not succeed, nor satisfy the needs for their type
of labor in the US.
Indications are that amnesty
will face unpopular public and political support
in the US. Instead the US should consider a
guest-work program that would include those who
are already here. The program could allow for
renewal periods, and include as
"guests" their immediate family
members. Newcomers would enter as
"contracted-guest-workers" with
specific jobs waiting.
However, any program can
only work provided aggressive enforcement, and
severe fines and sentences are included in
existing laws prohibiting the hiring of
undocumented workers. This may include the need
for a forgery-proof national ID card.
The argument that such a
card would be an intrusion on our privacy and
lend itself to abuse is lame, as we gave up
privacy and opened the door to abuse when we
applied for a Social Security number, a driver's
license, a passport, or the first credit card.
In some US industries it is
far cheaper to hire undocumented workers, then
plead not knowing their status. These industries
are heavy political contributors and wield much
power. So we are faced with the ultimate question
- will the people's Congressional representatives
and Senators forgo special interests or will this
turn into another round of Mexico bashing as the
excuse for doing little?
____________
Patrick Osio, Jr. is the
Editor of HispanicVista.Com and writes The
Connection, a monthly column, for the San Diego
Metropolitan Magazine. He may be reached through
email at: hispanicvista@home.com
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